Recent developments in Tennessee’s political landscape have sparked optimism among Democrats as they prepare for the 2026 midterm elections. A special election in Tennessee’s 7th Congressional District saw the Democratic candidate, Aftyn Behn, lose by only 9 percentage points. This is a significant shift from the previous election in which Republican Mark Green won by a decisive 22 points before resigning in July.
Renewed Energy Among Local Democrats
The close result has energized local Democrats, particularly in Nashville and its suburbs, where community members are rallying together. Megan Schwalm, who founded the Liberal Ladies Social Group three years ago, expressed a mix of hope and concern. “It’s a numbers game, right? There are moments of hope, but often overwhelming moments of hopelessness as well,” Schwalm said during a recent meeting.
Despite the challenges posed by gerrymandering, which has reshaped the district boundaries to favor Republican candidates, Schwalm and others are determined to narrow the electoral gap. “If we can keep closing that gap, that’s incredible,” she noted. The enthusiasm among Democrats is palpable, with members vowing to turn Nashville into a competitive battleground in the upcoming elections.
“There’s something happening,” said Lisa Quigley, former chief of staff to the last Democrat representing the Nashville area in Congress. She emphasized the importance of strategic candidate selection in the upcoming races. “If we are smart enough to put our best players on the field, I think we’re going to be able to take advantage of that,” Quigley added.
Challenges Ahead for Democrats
Historically, the old 5th Congressional District, which included all of Nashville, was represented by a Democrat for 148 years. However, following redistricting in 2022, the city was divided into three districts, making it increasingly difficult for Democrats to win. The Republicans have maintained strong margins in the newly drawn districts, with Donald Trump winning by substantial margins in the 2024 elections: 18 points in the 5th, 35 points in the 6th, and 22 points in the 7th.
Despite these daunting statistics, Quigley remains optimistic about flipping at least two of the three seats in the 2026 elections. Conversations with local Democrats have led to the inclusion of Tennessee in their broader initiative to track significant political developments. The energy surrounding Democratic successes in 2025 provides hope that Nashville could become more competitive.
Schwalm, who relocated to Mount Juliet from Iowa, highlights the stark political differences between her current home and Nashville. “When you are here, it’s very clear you are in the Bible Belt,” she explained. Her group has grown substantially, currently boasting nearly 700 members who engage in community-building activities. Initially focused on local educational policies, the group is now shifting its attention toward broader political ambitions.
As they prepare for future elections, members of the Liberal Ladies group are actively supporting Democratic candidates. They participated in the special election by writing postcards and making phone calls to mobilize voters. Despite Behn’s loss, there is speculation about potential candidates for the 2026 elections, and a debate is emerging over whether to run more moderate or progressive candidates.
Schwalm is a proponent of fielding true liberal candidates, stating, “The way we win is to run true liberal candidates and not ‘liberal lite.’” She acknowledges, however, that candidates may need to adapt to the more conservative sentiments in certain districts. The group meets regularly at the Red Bicycle coffee shop in the 5th District, which is viewed as the Democrats’ best chance despite the challenges.
The incumbent in the 6th District, Rep. John Rose, is running for Tennessee governor, presenting an opportunity for Democrats to contest the seat. Yet, many acknowledge that this race will be even more challenging than the others. Quigley, who has a wealth of experience working with moderate candidates, believes that a more centrist approach may resonate better in suburban and rural areas.
As the primary elections approach, the excitement among Democrats suggests a crowded field of candidates vying for the opportunity to represent Nashville. Quigley predicts that tensions between Democrats of varying ideologies will surface, as party members decide who will best represent their beliefs and values.
Local business owners Luis and Cyndi Cortes, who operate a coffee shop in Mount Juliet, express skepticism about a Democrat winning in their area. While they identify as Republican, Cyndi has begun to question her support for incumbent Rep. Andy Ogles due to concerns about his character and financial disclosures. “I can’t put a vote for a candidate that I just don’t feel embodies the values that matter to us,” she remarked.
As Democrats gear up for the 2026 elections, their success may hinge not only on their strategies but also on the evolving sentiments within the Republican base. The dynamics of voter engagement in Tennessee, particularly in the wake of recent electoral trends, will be closely monitored as the political landscape continues to shift.
