20 January, 2026
historians-assess-trump-s-actions-consequences-of-his-second-term

As the second term of former President Donald Trump progresses, historians and political scientists are evaluating the significance of his actions during the first year back in office. Various experts weigh in on which decisions may have the most enduring impact on American society and governance.

Trump’s administration has been marked by several controversial measures, prompting historians to reflect on their potential long-term consequences. Notably, the revival of tariff powers, aggressive immigration enforcement, and the dismissal of government officials who investigated him are among the actions under scrutiny.

Key Actions Under Review

One prominent figure in Trump’s inner circle, Stephen Miller, has been highlighted by Heather Cox Richardson, a history professor at Boston College. She asserts that Miller’s influence may have led to some of the most alarming decisions of Trump’s first term. Richardson notes, “I think we will ultimately learn that Miller was the one making the most alarming and consequential decisions during Trump’s first term and then giving the orders to implement them.”

The expansion of the Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agency has also drawn significant criticism. Joanne B. Freeman, a professor at Yale University, describes the transformation of ICE into “a force of masked marauders dedicated to terrorizing Americans.” She argues that this escalation threatens American democracy itself, creating an environment of fear and submission among citizens.

Another critical perspective comes from David S. Brown, who points to the historical parallels of ICE raids. He compares current actions to the Fugitive Slave Act of 1850, which prompted strong backlash from Northerners. Brown suggests that any shift in public perception regarding ICE could have significant repercussions in upcoming electoral cycles.

Assessing Threats to Democracy

The firing of Department of Justice officials investigating Trump has been flagged by political experts as a serious threat to democratic norms. Brendan Nyhan, a political science professor at Dartmouth College, notes that 85% of surveyed experts consider this action to pose an extraordinary threat to democracy.

In discussing the broader implications of Trump’s use of executive power, Patrick Andelic from Northumbria University highlights the lack of restraint within his own administration. He suggests that Trump’s pursuit of Greenland could lead to significant geopolitical changes, reflecting the unpredictable nature of his presidency.

Amid these controversies, the pardons granted to participants involved in the January 6 attack on the Capitol have been described by Andrea Pitzer as a pivotal moment that undermines federal authority. Pitzer argues that such actions have demonstrated a blatant disregard for the rule of law, contributing to a dangerous precedent for future governance.

The cultural implications of Trump’s presidency are also significant. John Garrison Marks emphasizes the disruption of federal cultural grants and the politicization of institutions like the Smithsonian. He believes that these actions will have lasting effects on the cultural landscape of the United States.

In conclusion, as the second year of Trump’s administration unfolds, the analysis of his actions will likely continue to evolve. The long-term consequences of decisions made during this period remain uncertain, but the insights from historians and political scientists provide a framework for understanding their potential impact on American society and governance.