
Investment management firm Mar Vista Investment Partners released its third-quarter 2025 investor letter, highlighting significant trends in the US equity market. The report noted a strong performance driven by optimism surrounding the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance and the burgeoning field of artificial intelligence (AI). In this environment, the S&P 500® Index and the Nasdaq Composite experienced notable gains, reflecting technology’s robust growth.
The Mar Vista U.S. Quality Premier Strategy reported a return of +6.41% net of fees for the quarter, trailing behind the Russell 1000 Index and the S&P 500 Index, which returned +8.00% and +8.12%, respectively. Among the stocks discussed in the investor letter was Moody’s Corporation (NYSE:MCO), a prominent integrated risk assessment firm.
On October 8, 2025, shares of Moody’s closed at $490.09, contributing to a market capitalization of $87.902 billion. Over the past month, Moody’s stock experienced a decline of -3.16%, though it gained 3.60% over the preceding year.
Concerns Over Competitive Pressures
Mar Vista expressed concerns regarding Moody’s performance, attributing the stock’s decline to a growing competitive landscape in the AI sector. A report from FactSet in mid-September indicated slowing growth and warned of increasing competition from start-ups and established firms, potentially impacting profit margins. Despite these challenges, Moody’s has been proactive in developing AI solutions through its Analytics segment, aiming to integrate AI models that enhance customer workflows.
The investor letter emphasized the firm’s strategy to bolster its ecosystem, enabling clients to utilize Moody’s data and analytics more effectively. Mar Vista believes that these AI investments could further embed Moody’s services within the operations of banks, insurance companies, and asset managers, thereby fortifying the company’s economic position.
Moody’s Corporation did not make the list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. According to Mar Vista’s database, 82 hedge fund portfolios held shares of Moody’s at the end of the second quarter, unchanged from the previous quarter. While acknowledging the potential risks associated with Moody’s stock, Mar Vista’s confidence lies in the belief that other AI stocks may offer greater prospects for higher returns in a shorter timeframe.
Looking Ahead
As investors seek opportunities in AI, Mar Vista suggests exploring stocks that may provide substantial upside potential, contrasting them with Moody’s. The firm noted that some AI stocks could present a 10,000% upside, urging interest in alternatives that may outperform Moody’s in the evolving market.
In addition to its analysis of Moody’s, Mar Vista has provided insights into profitable dividend stocks and other hedge fund investor letters for Q3 2025. Investors may find value in reviewing these materials as they navigate the complexities of the current market landscape.
As the competition in the AI sector intensifies, Moody’s Corporation will need to adapt and innovate to maintain its standing in the industry. The evolving dynamics present both challenges and opportunities, and how the firm responds will be crucial in shaping its future trajectory.