19 October, 2025
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UPDATE: Restaurants across the nation are facing a pricing crisis, with staples like burgers, burritos, and coffee set to become significantly more expensive as operators grapple with soaring costs. New data from Toast, a restaurant management software company, reveals that nearly 50% of restaurant operators plan to raise menu prices further amid persistent inflation concerns.

As inflation continues to impact the economy, the National Restaurant Association estimates that to maintain a modest 5% profit margin, restaurants would need to hike prices by an alarming 30.3%. This drastic measure could deter diners already feeling the pinch from rising costs. The latest figures show that overall inflation has reached 2.9%, with food prices climbing sharply in recent months.

According to Toast’s menu price monitor, only wings and pints of beer have seen lesser price increases at 2.3% and 2.4% respectively. Many restaurant owners fear that such price increases could push customers away, leading to reduced sales and further jeopardizing the industry.

In a broader context, the financial impact of tariffs, particularly those enforced by former President Donald Trump, continues to strain the restaurant sector. A Yale economist recently estimated that these tariffs will cost the average consumer approximately $3,800 this year. While the tariffs primarily affect electronics and apparel, they also encompass essential ingredients like fish, snack foods, and spices, compounding the issue for dining establishments.

Less disposable income means consumers are dining out less frequently, seeking deals, and opting for lower-cost menu items.

“Operators may have no choice” but to raise prices given their increasing costs,

stated Michelle Korsmo, President & CEO of the National Restaurant Association, highlighting the tough decisions faced by many in the industry.

The restaurant industry, known for its thin profit margins, is approaching a critical juncture. Rising costs of ingredients and labor are not merely inconveniences; they threaten the very viability of countless establishments. As diners brace for the possibility of paying more for their favorite meals, many are left wondering how long this trend will last.

For those looking to enjoy a meal out, savor that $14 burger while you can—it may be the last affordable option on the menu for the foreseeable future. With rising prices becoming the new norm, the restaurant landscape is poised for significant changes, and consumers must adapt quickly.

Stay tuned for updates as this situation develops, and prepare for a potential dining experience that could cost significantly more than it does today.